基于风险矩阵法的湖北省柑橘冻害风险区划 
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国家科技支撑计划项目(2008BAC48B04);2014年中央财政“三农”服务专项(1411519301608)


Risk zonation of cold injury to citrus in Hubei Province based on risk matrix
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    摘要:

    应用风险矩阵法对湖北省柑橘(以宽皮柑橘为例)冻害风险进行区划。结果表明,湖北省柑橘冻害风险可分为4个等级。三峡河谷、鄂西南河谷盆地、低山丘陵区、鄂东南丘陵区为无冻害风险区;鄂西北汉江河谷、丹江库区、鄂中丘陵区、江汉平原以及鄂东南大部为低度风险区,可以达到经济栽培目的,但可能(≤10 年1遇)出现中度低温冻害;鄂西北大部、鄂东北大部为中度风险区,宽皮柑橘10 a中可能有2~3 a不能正常结果,经济效益低;神农架林区、武当山脉、桐柏山、大别山等山区为高度风险区,不适宜种植柑橘。

    Abstract:

    The risk matrix was used in risk zonation of cold injury to citrus in Hubei Province.The results showed that the method of risk zonation based on risk matrix was valuable and convenient to be applied in practical citrus production.Hubei Province can be divided into four risk levels.The first one is the no freezing damage zone including the Three Gorges Valley,valley basin and hilly region in southwestern Hubei Province and hilly area in northwestern Hubei Province.The second one is the low risk zone including Hanjiang River,Danjiang River Valley in the northwestern Hubei Province,Jianghan Plain,hilly area in the southeastern Hubei Province.In this zone,the cultivation of citrus is the main income.The third one is the moderate risk area including the major part of Jianghan Plain and the northwestern Hubei Province.In this area,citrus has 2-3 years’ experience of freezing injury every 10 years.Shennongjia forest region,the Wudang Mountains,Tongbai Mountains,the Dabie Mountains belonging to the high risk area is not suitable for cultivating citrus.

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刘志雄,刘敏.基于风险矩阵法的湖北省柑橘冻害风险区划 [J].华中农业大学学报,2015,34(6):73-77

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  • 收稿日期:2015-03-16
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-10-13
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