“供-流-需”视角下雨洪安全格局构建与优化 ——以湖北省通城县为例
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1.武汉大学城市设计学院;2.湖北省规划设计研究总院有限责任公司;3.湖北省人居环境工程技术研究中心

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国家自然科学基金项目:异质性视角下长江流域生态系统服务时空演化机理与管 控策略;2025 年住房城乡建设科技课题“揭榜 挂帅”和科技计划项目:阈值效应视角下湿地城市生态空间规划响应机制研究


Construction and Optimization of Rainfall-Flood Safety Pattern from the Perspective of "Supply-Flow-Demand" : A Case Study of Tongcheng County, Hubei Province
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    摘要:

    为缓解城市洪涝灾害、促进雨洪调节服务供需匹配,推动城乡生态空间高质量发展,引入生态系统服务流理论,构建耦合雨洪调节服务供需作用与服务流动机制的雨洪安全格局。以湖北省通城县为例,采用SCS-CN模型与洪水风险指数分别量化雨洪调节服务的供给与需求;通过冷热点分析识别生态供需源地;基于水文分析和电路理论构建雨洪调节服务的流动路径,划定蓝线廊道、绿线廊道与供需廊道,并识别关键节点。结果表明:通城县雨洪调节服务供需呈现“西南-东北盈余、中心赤字”的显著错配格局,且中心城区失衡程度尤为突出,共识别出供给源地276.15km2,需求源地189.87km2,各类廊道391.71km?,关键生态节点100处;据此提出“三区三带”优化方案,通过强化服务流动路径连通与关键节点保护等措施实现格局优化;并从供给、需求、服务流空间三个维度系统提出调控策略。为从生态空间供需匹配视角缓解雨洪灾害问题提供思路借鉴,未来可结合长时序数据与暴雨多情景模拟进一步深化研究。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, the frequent occurrence of flood disasters has highlighted the contradiction between urban construction and the rainfall and flood safety system. To alleviate urban rainfall and flood disasters, promote the matching of supply and demand for rainfall and flood regulation services, and advance the high-quality development of urban and rural ecological spaces, a method for constructing a rainfall and flood safety pattern coupled with the theory of ecosystem service flows was proposed from the perspective of regulating service supply and demand.?Taking Tongcheng County, Hubei Province as a case study,the SCS-CN model and flood risk index were used to quantify the supply and demand of rainfall and flood regulation services, respectively. Hotspot and coldspot analyses were employed to identify ecological supply and demand source areas. Based on hydrological analysis and circuit theory, the flow paths of rainfall and flood regulation services were constructed, delineating blue-line corridors, green-line corridors, and supply-demand corridors, while key nodes in the network were identified.?The results show a significant spatial mismatch between the supply and demand of rainfall and flood regulation services in Tongcheng County, with a higher degree of imbalance in the central urban area. A total of 276.15km2 of supply source areas, 189.87km2 of demand source areas, 332.51km of blue-line corridors, 25.18km of green-line corridors, 34.02km of supply-demand corridors, and 100 key ecological nodes were identified. Accordingly, an optimization plan for the "Three Zones and Three Belts" rainfall and flood safety pattern was proposed, along with systematic regulatory strategies from three dimensions: supply space, demand space, and service flow space.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-15
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-19
  • 录用日期:2025-12-23
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