江苏省县域城乡融合发展:测度评价、障碍识别与数字驱动探析
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1.华中农业大学;2.山东农业大学

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生态低碳导向下县域城乡融合发展体制机制研究


Urban-rural integration development at county level in Jiangsu Province: measurement evaluation, obstacle identification and digital drive analysis
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    摘要:

    测度分析江苏省县域城乡融合水平,并挖掘江苏省县域城乡融合的影响因素,为推动江苏省以及其他地区的城乡融合发展提供政策启示与科学依据。文章通过构建城乡融合指标评价体系,结合自然间断法、核密度估计法与探索性空间分析法描绘2013-2021年江苏省县域城乡融合时空分布与演变特征,基于障碍度模型与地理探测器模型识别江苏省县域城乡融合的内部障碍因素与外在驱动因素。结果表明:(1)自2013年以来,江苏省县域城乡融合水平持续上升,但各县域之间的城乡融合水平存在差异且差异仍在扩大;截止到2021年,各维度融合指数由高至低依次为:社会融合、生态融合、空间融合、经济融合、人口融合;各地区融合指数由高至低依次为苏南地区、苏中地区、苏北地区;江苏省县域城乡融合存在全局空间正相关性,局域空间分布格局表现为高-高集聚与低-低集聚类型,低水平集聚状态占主要部分。(2)整体而言,产业结构与就业结构层次偏低、以及产业结构与就业结构偏离,是江苏省县域城乡融合发展的主要内部障碍,分区域来看,苏南地区、苏中地区、苏北地区各障碍因素的阻力大小存在差异。(3)数字技术是江苏省县域城乡融合的重要外在驱动力,其中,乡村经济数字化对城乡融合的驱动作用最为明显,而数字化营销又是主要驱动路径。本研究认为应加强县域之间的交流与互动,促进县域之间的联动式与均衡式发展;同步优化县域产业结构与就业结构,因地制宜,瞄准各县域优势与劣势,破除江苏省县域城乡融合发展障碍;重点支持数字技术在乡村经济领域的应用,培育以农村电商为代表的新型业态,助力县域城乡融合再上新台阶。

    Abstract:

    Measure and analyze the level of urban-rural integration in counties of Jiangsu Province, and explore the influencing factors of urban-rural integration in counties of Jiangsu Province, so as to provide policy inspiration and scientific basis for promoting urban-rural integration development in Jiangsu Province and other regions. By constructing an index evaluation system for urban-rural integration, this paper combined the natural discontinuation method, kernel density estimation method and exploratory spatial analysis method to describe the spatial and temporal distribution and evolution characteristics of urban-rural integration in Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2021, and identified the internal obstacle factors and external driving factors of urban-rural integration in Jiangsu Province based on the obstacle degree model and geographical detector model. The results show that: (1) Since 2013, the level of Rural-urban integration in Jiangsu Province has continued to rise, but the level of rural-urban integration among counties is different and the difference is still expanding; By 2021, the integration index of each dimension in descending order is: social integration, ecological integration, spatial integration, economic integration, population integration; The regional integration index from high to low is South Jiangsu, Central Jiangsu and North Jiangsu. There is a positive global spatial correlation in county urban-rural integration in Jiangsu Province, and the local spatial distribution pattern shows high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration types, with low-level agglomeration taking the main part. (2) On the whole, the low level of industrial structure and employment structure, as well as the deviation of industrial structure and employment structure, are the main internal obstacles to the urban-rural integration development of counties in Jiangsu Province. From the perspective of different regions, there are differences in the resistance of each obstacle factor in Southern Jiangsu, Central Jiangsu and Northern Jiangsu. (3) Digital technology is an important external driving force for urban-rural integration at county level in Jiangsu Province. Among them, the digitalization of rural economy is the most obvious driving force for urban-rural integration, and digital marketing is the main driving path. This study believes that the communication and interaction between counties should be strengthened to promote the linkage and balanced development among counties. Optimize the industrial structure and employment structure of the county simultaneously, according to local conditions, aim at the advantages and disadvantages of each county, and break the obstacles of urban-rural integration in Jiangsu Province; We will focus on supporting the application of digital technology in the rural economy, cultivate new forms of business represented by rural e-commerce, and help the integration of urban and rural areas at the county level to a new level.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-04-08
  • 最后修改日期:2024-06-26
  • 录用日期:2024-06-27
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