耕地转变为建设用地的碳排放效应:基于中国224个地级市的经验与证据
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作者单位:

1.河北经贸大学公共管理学院,石家庄 050061;2.河北经贸大学河北省城乡融合发展协同创新中心,石家庄 050061;3.《管理世界》杂志社, 北京 100026;4.中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京 100872

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X22


Effects of transforming farmland into construction land on carbon emission:based on experience and evidence of 224 prefecture-level cities in China
Author:
Affiliation:

1.College of Public Administration, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061,China;2.Hebei Province Center for Urban Rural Integration Development Collaborative Innovation, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061,China;3.Editorial Office of Journal of Management World, Beijing 100026, China;4.College of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872,China

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    摘要:

    为探究在碳达峰、碳中和的时代背景下,土地利用变化对碳排放的影响以及影响路径,推动生态环境协同治理、实现绿色高质量发展,本文 从耕地转变为建设用地这一视角切入,基于2009-2010年、2018-2019年中国224个地级市的数据,运用面板固定效应模型着重探究耕地转变为建设用地的碳排放效应及其影响机制。结果显示:全国耕地转变为建设用地呈现收缩趋势,东部省份以及东北地区趋势最为突出,中西部省份收缩趋势不明显;碳排放总量仅东部省份呈现下降趋势,其他省份均呈上升趋势;耕地转变为建设用地显著增加了碳排放量,这一结果在进行稳健性检验以及处理可能存在的内生性后依然成立。研究结果表明,耕地变为建设用地所引致的产业结构以及能源消费变化是影响碳排放的主要路径。

    Abstract:

    The impact and pathways of changes in land use on carbon emissions in the context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality (double carbon) were studied from the perspective of transforming farmland into construction land to promote the collaborative governance of ecological environment and achieve the development with green and high-quality. A panel fixed effects model was used to investigate the effects and mechanisms of transforming farmland into construction land on carbon emission based on the data of 224 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009-2010 and 2018-2019. The results showed that the transformation of farmland into construction land across China had a shrinking trend, with the most prominent trend in the eastern and northeastern regions, while the shrinking trend was not obvious in the central and western provinces. The emissions of total carbon only showed a downward trend in the eastern provinces, while other provinces showed an upward trend. The transformation of farmland into construction land significantly increased carbon emissions, and this result remained valid after conducting tests of robustness and addressing issues of potential endogeneity. It is indicated that the changes in industrial structure and energy consumption caused by the transformation of farmland into construction land are the main pathways affecting carbon emissions.

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引用本文

杜辉,张学儒,张世国,张清勇.耕地转变为建设用地的碳排放效应:基于中国224个地级市的经验与证据[J].华中农业大学学报,2024,43(6):65-74

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-01-07
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