稳定性同位素营养级估算的差异性与影响因素——以鲢鳙为例
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作者:
作者单位:

1.华中农业大学生命科学技术学院, 武汉 430070;2.中国科学院水生生物研究所/淡水生态与生物技术国家重点实验室, 武汉 430072

作者简介:

白子晗,E-mail:1812546510@qq.com

通讯作者:

王康,E-mail:wangkang@ihb.ac.cn

中图分类号:

Q178.1

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFD0900904);中国科学院国际合作重点项目(152342KYSB20190025)


Variability of trophic position estimation using stable isotopic: evidence from silver carp and bighead carp
Author:
Affiliation:

1.College of Life Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China;2.Institute of Hydrobiology, Chinese Academy of Sciences/ State Key Laboratory of Freshwater Ecology and Biotechnology,Wuhan 430072, China

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    摘要:

    为了优化稳定性同位素估算消费者营养级的计算过程,降低算法和样品质量对其的影响,应用贝叶斯算法对中国水域已发表文献中的鲢(Hypophthalmichthys molitrix)、鳙(Hypophthalmichthys nobilis)营养级进行了估算和分析。结果显示:贝叶斯算法下鲢、鳙营养级与总磷(TP)、总氮(TN)2种环境因素无显著相关性。部分研究存在采样个数过少、采样频率过低,忽略了基准季节性和种内的变异性等问题,从而无法准确代表目标生物的营养特征,可能导致了营养级估计中出现异常值。贝叶斯算法与传统算法之间无显著性差异,表明其依然无法冲淡采样设计所带来的影响。曲线拟合的结果表明,维持采样数在6个以上有助于提高贝叶斯算法的计算结果的准确性。因此,在试验设计中,建议采样样品数多于6,并考虑季节与空间的差异,避免单次、少量的采集。

    Abstract:

    To improve the calculation process of infer consumer trophic position using stable isotope analysis and to reduce the influence of the current methods and sample quality, this paper applied Bayesian mixing model to estimate the trophic position of silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys molitrix) and bighead carp (Hypophthalmichthys nobilis) in Chinese waters from published literature. The results showed that the trophic position of silver carp and bighead carp had no significant correlation with total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN) under Bayesian method. Some studies have the limitation of small sample sizes, low sampling frequency, and ignored the seasonal and spatial variations in baseline, thus failing to accurately represent the trophic signatures of target organisms, which may have led to deviation in trophic position estimates. No significant difference between the Bayesian method and the current method indicates that even more accurate models cannot overcomes the limitations of an irrational sampling design. The results of curve fitting show that the Bayesian approach performs more constrained with the sample size ≥6, and the accuracy is improved. Therefore, in the experimental design, we suggest that the sample size should be ≥6, and that seasonal and spatial variations should be considered and avoid single, small collections.

    表 2 贝叶斯算法和传统算法结果的配对样本t检验Table 2 Paired sample t test of bayesian algorithm and traditional algorithm results
    表 3 营养级范围与样本数的相关分析Table 3 Correlations between range of trophic positions and sampling number
    表 1 研究数据汇总与文献来源Table 1 Summary of information about silver carp and bighead carp
    表 4 营养级与环境变量的相关分析Table 4 Correlations between trophic position and envionment variables
    表 5 模型拟合信息Table 5 Summary of model fitting information
    图1 鲢、鳙在浮游食物网中相互作用的示意图Fig.1 Schematic illustration of trophic interaction in a pelagic food web dominated by silver carps and bighead carps
    图2 贝叶斯算法中营养级95%置信区间的大小随鱼样本数变化的模拟曲线Fig.2 Simulation curve of correlation between the size of 95% confidence interval of trophic position in Bayesian algorithm and sampling number of fish
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白子晗,王睿龙,王康.稳定性同位素营养级估算的差异性与影响因素——以鲢鳙为例[J].华中农业大学学报,2023,42(1):100-107

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  • 收稿日期:2022-05-24
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-22
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