农村征地补偿是否会助推家庭债务风险?
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.广东财经大学 财政税务学院,广东 广州510320;2.广东财经大学 广东省财税大数据重点实验室,广东 广州510320;3.北京物资学院 经济学院,北京101126

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F3

基金项目:

广东省哲学社会科学青年项目“人口老龄化背景下广东省家庭债务风险的识别、监测及防控研究”(GD25YYJ38);国家社会科学基金项目“超特大城市重点人群家庭偿债风险评估、预警与防控机制研究”(24BJY090);北京市属高等学校优秀青年人才培育计划项目(BPHR202203158)。


Does Rural Land Expropriation Compensation Fuel Household Debt Risk?
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    家庭债务风险的持续积累,农村家庭因收入与社保短板更显财务脆弱性。在此背景下,农村土地征用补偿金作为农户家庭资产结构转型的重要外生冲击,其与债务风险的关系是理解国家土地财政与家庭杠杆交互机制的关键。基于2010-2020年中国家庭微观调查数据(CFPS),系统考察农村土地补偿金对农户家庭债务风险的影响路径及异质性特征。研究发现:土地补偿金通过短期流动性冲击、资产结构调整与预期行为调整三重渠道显著提升农村家庭债务风险。第一,补偿金的短期充裕诱导家庭消费升级,迫使家庭在补偿金耗尽后依赖借贷维持消费水平,加速债务积累。第二,土地资产流失导致家庭生产性资本减少,资产结构的调整迫使家庭通过借贷弥补经营缺口。第三,补偿金还通过改善收入预期,刺激家庭扩大长期消费与高风险投资,释放的资金转向竞争性消费,加剧流动性压力。异质性分析发现,重度老龄化家庭因医疗支出刚性,仅房贷规模显著响应补偿金变动。基于此,提出需构建动态补偿机制、强化社保联动政策并完善就业与技能培训配套,以对冲土地财政转型中的系统性风险。

    Abstract:

    The continuous accumulation of household debt risks makes rural families more financially vulnerable due to income constraints and inadequate social security.Against this background,the compensation for rural land expropriation,as an important exogenous shock driving the transformation of the asset structure of rural households,plays a key role in understanding the interaction between state land-based finance and household leverage.Based on the China Household Micro-Survey Data (CFPS) from 2010 to 2020,this paper systematically examines the influence pathways and heterogeneous effects of land compensation on the debt risk of rural households.The research finds that land expropriation compensation funds significantly increase household debt risks through three channels:short-term liquidity shock,asset structure adjustment and changes in expectation-driven behavior.Firstly,the short-term abundance of compensation funds induces household consumption upgrading,forcing households to rely on borrowing to maintain their consumption levels once the compensation funds are exhausted,thereby accelerating debt accumulation.Secondly,the loss of land assets leads to a reduction in household productive capital,and the ensuing adjustment in asset structure compels households to borrow to fill operational gaps.Finally,the compensation funds improve income expectations,encouraging households to expand long-term consumption and engage in high-risk investments,while also fueling competitive consumption,which heightens liquidity pressures.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that in heavily aging households,due to rigid medical expenditures,only mortgage debt responds significantly to the changes in compensation funds.Based on this,this paper proposes that a dynamic compensation mechanism needs to be established,the social security linkage policy strengthened,and the supporting measures for employment and skills training programs improved,in order to hedge against the systemic risks in the transformation of land-based finance.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

龙腾,王海军,林芷滢.农村征地补偿是否会助推家庭债务风险?[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2025(5):202-215

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-05-15
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-19
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码