粮食安全省长责任制对地方“粮食-经济”发展平衡性的影响研究
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四川农业大学 经济学院,四川 成都 611130

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F302.2

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国家自然科学基金青年项目“长江上游地区农业绿色发展绩效跟踪评估及提升路径研究”(22CJY046);国家自然科学基金项目“大熊猫国家公园原住居民生计转型及实现路径研究”(20BSH107)。


The Impact of Provincial Governor Responsibility System for Food Security on the Balance of “Grain-Economy” Development
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    摘要:

    落实粮食安全省长责任制既是夯实粮食安全根基、保障粮食安全的重要手段,也是推动国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的重要探索。在此背景下,构建多任务委托代理模型,分析中央绩效考核如何影响地方官员在经济发展绩效与粮食安全保障间的治理决策,并利用2010-2020年全国地级市面板数据,通过双重差分模型分析粮食安全省长责任制对“粮食-经济”发展不平衡性的影响。研究发现,粮食安全省长责任制能显著缓解地方“粮食-经济”发展失衡问题,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立。地方比较优势异质性分析显示,这种缓解效应受到自然、技术以及市场因素的差异化影响,在地形平缓、农业社会化服务水平高、新型农业经营主体数量多的地区更明显。官员风险成本异质性分析则发现,这一缓解效应在粮食安全工作相对风险小、官员风险厌恶程度低的地区更突出。因此,应进一步下沉粮食安全保障责任,制定差异化的粮食安全绩效考核权重,完善粮食安全配套政策以提升各地种粮抓粮积极性。

    Abstract:

    Implementing the Provincial Governor Responsibility System for Food Security is not only crucial for consolidating the foundation of food security and ensuring its stability but also serves as an important exploration in advancing the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity. This paper constructs a multi-task principal-agent model to analyze how central government performance assessment affects local officials’ governance decision-making between economic development performance and food security assurance. Utilizing panel data from prefecture-level cities across China from 2010 to 2020, this paper establishes a difference in differences model to examine the impact of the Provincial Governor Responsibility System for Food Security on the imbalance of “Grain-Economy” development. The study finds that the Provincial Governor Responsibility System for Food Security significantly alleviates the imbalance in local “Grain-Economy” development, and this conclusion remains robust after a series of robust tests. Heterogeneity analysis of local comparative advantages suggests that this mitigating effect varies due to differences in natural, technological, and market factors, being more significant in regions with flat terrain, high levels of agricultural socialized services, and a greater number of new agricultural business entities. Heterogeneity analysis of officials’ risk costs reveals that this alleviating effect is more prominent in regions where food security work entails relatively lower risk and where officials exhibit lower risk aversion. Therefore, it is recommended to further delegate food security responsibilities, formulate differentiated performance assessment weights for food security, and improve supporting policies for grain security to enhance local enthusiasm for grain cultivation and grain production.

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钟若希,韦锋,漆雁斌.粮食安全省长责任制对地方“粮食-经济”发展平衡性的影响研究[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2025(4):22-33

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-18
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-18
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