At the important historical opportunity to achieve the goal of “emissions peak and carbon neutrality”,it is of great significance to construct a resourcesaving,lowcarbon and ecologyrecycling development model for sustainable agricultural development. Taking 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2018 as the research objects,this paper portrayed the interactive mechanism among resource consumption,agricultural output and agricultural carbon emission by applying Panel Vector Autoregressive model (PVAR). The results are as follows. First,the agriculture “peak carbon dioxide emissions” node occurred earlier in the east,and later in the northeast and west. In 2018,the top three provinces in agricultural carbon emissions were Hunan,Heilongjiang and Henan,and the bottom three were Beijing,Tianjin and Shanghai. Second,the relationship between resource consumption and agricultural output presented an intensification mode of “low input,high output”,but with little impact. The “high output,high emission” scenario between agricultural output and agricultural carbon emissions is a longterm challenge to the greening of agriculture. There was a resourcerecycling phenomenon of “low emission,low input” between agricultural carbon emissions and resource consumption,and its influence was weak in the short term and strong in the long term. Third,exploring multiple pathway to reduce agricultural carbon emissions was the key to promoting agricultural intensification,greening and resourcerecycling. Accordingly,intensive production should be strengthened,resourcerecycling mode should be fully developed,and a new path of green pattern in agriculture should be explored to accelerate the realization of carbon emission reduction and to promote the sustainable agricultural development.