中国海外耕地投资东道国空间分布 及地缘关系影响
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国家自然科学基金项目“基于地缘关系的中国海外耕地投资项目时空演变路径与机理研究”(41501589);华中师范大学中 央高校基本科研业务费项目资助“中国海外耕地投资风险的生成机理、演化机制与防控对策研究”(CCNU20QN035);华中 师范大学智库成果培育专项项目资助“基于粮食安全视角的日韩海外耕地投资问题研究”(CCNU17ZK11).


The Spatial Distribution of Host Country of China’s Overseas Farmland Investment and the Influence of Geopolitics
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    摘要:

    21世纪以来,海外耕地投资逐渐成为跨国农业投资领域研究的焦点话题.探 讨中国海外耕地投资东道国分布及地缘关系因素的影响规律,有利于我国农业“走出去”战 略深入实施.基于 LandMatrix数据库的中国海外耕地投资案例数据,采用文献资料法、空 间分析法和数学建模法分析发现:当前中国的海外耕地投资处于低水平,且离散性明显;中 国的海外耕地投资东道国具有明显的空间聚集性,已呈现“高—高、低—低”集聚的分布模 式;中国海外耕地投资规模受地缘政治、地缘经济、地缘文化等因素影响深刻,其中声明宣言 公报总数、首都距离、政府驻外机构总数、年均入境游客人数和年均出口总值均对海外耕地 投资活动的发展影响显著,且具有空间异质性影响效应.提出在当前全球粮食安全和中国 农业对外投资快速发展的背景下,中国企业要重视对优质耕地资源的投资,应针对不同地区 实际发展情况科学调整投资策略及规划投资重点国家.同时,中国相关政府部门也应加强 与重点东道国的互动交流,提高中国海外耕地整体投资水平,化解企业投资风险.

    Abstract:

    Since the 21st century,overseas farmland investment has gradually become one of the focus of research in the field of transnational agricultural investment. It is conducive to the indepth implementation of the agricultural “going out” strategy to explore distribution of host country of China’s overseas farmland investment and geopolitical factors. Based on the case data of China’s overseas farmland investment in the Land Matrix database,using literature data,spatial analysis,and mathematical modeling,this thesis finds that China’s overseas farmland investment is currently at a low level and the discreteness is obvious; the host country has significant spatial agglomeration,presenting a distribution pattern of “highhigh,lowlow” pattern; the scale of China’s overseas farmland investment is deeply influenced by geopolitics,geoeconomics,and geoculture. The total number of declarations and communiqués,the distance from the capital,the total number of government agencies abroad,the average annual number of inbound tourists,and the average annual total export value are all related to overseas farmland investment activities,and the impact effects are spatially heterogeneous. Under the background of the current global food security and the rapid development of China’s agricultural foreign investment,Chinese companies should pay more attention to investment in highquality arable land resources. It is necessary to scientifically adjust investment strategies and make plans on investment in key countries in accordance with the actual development of different regions. At the same time,relevant Chinese government departments should also strengthen interactive exchanges with key host countries,improve China’s overall investment in overseas arable land,and resolve corporate investment risks.

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韩 璟,周金佩,卢新海.中国海外耕地投资东道国空间分布 及地缘关系影响[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2021(6):155-164

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-11-20
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