新冠肺炎疫情对武汉农产品供应链的影响及对策
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国家社会科学基金重大项目“新形势下我国农业全要素生产率提升战略研究”(18ZDA072)。


Influence of COVID-19 on Wuhan’s Agricultural Products Supply Chain and the Countermeasures
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    摘要:

    为应对新冠肺炎疫情,武汉市于 2020年1月23日开始“封城”,这一措施对农产品供应链产生了深刻的影响。通过对武汉107家农产品供应商进行电话访谈调查,从商户营业状态、进货情况、销售情况和未来预期四个方面分析“封城”前后疫情对武汉农产品供应链的影响。研究发现:疫情对武汉市农产品供应链产生了一定的冲击,而“封城”措施加剧了这一冲击;“封城”措施对不同类型农产品供应商的影响存在差异,对粮油供应商的影响最大,果蔬供应商次之,肉蛋奶供应商最小;“封城”措施导致农产品供应商的进货渠道变窄,对批发商的依赖程度提高;“封城”措施对果蔬类和肉蛋奶类农产品的销量冲击最大,对粮油类农产品的冲击最小;不同类型农产品供应商对疫情结束后的经营预期存在较大差异,肉蛋奶供应商选择继续留在原行业的比例最高,果蔬供应商次之,粮油供应商最小。基于此,从助力复工、拓宽农产品供应渠道、加强供需衔接和调整供应商预期等四个方面提出了常态化疫情防控背景下,保证农产品供应链正常运转的政策建议。

    Abstract:

    In order to contain COVID-19,Wuhan has been locked down since January 23,2020,leaving a profound impact on the operation of the agricultural product supply chain. The author conducted a telephone interview survey on 107 agricultural product suppliers in Wuhan during the epidemicand analyzed the impact of the epidemic situation before and after Wuhan’s lockdown on the agricultural product supply chain from business status,purchase situation,sales situation and future expectations of the merchant. The analyses lead to the following conclusions. First of all,The epidemic has a great impact on the supply chain of agricultural products in Wuhan,and the lockdown of Wuhan has exacerbated the impact. In addition,the lockdown of Wuhan has different impacts on the closure of different types of suppliers,with the greatest impact on grain and oil suppliers,followed by fruits and vegetables suppliers,and with the least impact on meat and eggs suppliers. What’s more,the lockdown of Wuhan has led to a narrowing of the purchase channels of agricultural product suppliers and their increased reliance on wholesalers. Moreover,the lockdown of Wuhan had the greatest impact on the sales of fruits,vegetables,meat,egg and milk products,and the least impact on grain and oil products. Finally,different types of suppliers have different expectations after the epidemic. Among them,meat,egg and milk suppliers choose to remain in the original industry with the highest proportion,followed by fruit and vegetable suppliers and grain and oil suppliers. Therefore,under the background of normalized epidemic prevention and control,policy suggestions are put forward to ensure the normal operation of the agricultural product supply chain,including assisting resumption of work,broadening agricultural product supply channels,strengthening the linkage between supply and demand and adjusting supplier expectations.

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李谷成.新冠肺炎疫情对武汉农产品供应链的影响及对策[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2020(3):7-13

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-05-19
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