Abstract:Using the HS 6-digit data of CEPII-BACI database (1996-2016),this paper adopts the survival analysis method based on discrete time to study the impact of FTA on the duration of China’s agricultural exports.The results show that:(1)The hazard rate of China’s agricultural exports to FTA members is lower; (2) Under the influence of the FTA,the duration of trade relationships that has started before the establishment of the FTA is prolonged yet that starts after the establishment of the FTA is shortened due to uncertainty; (3) The survivor rate of China’s agricultural exports relationships has increased with time and depth of FTA; (4) Due to different reduction ranges of trade costs,FTA has a greater impact on the export duration of processed agricultural products than primary agricultural products.Finally,it puts forward the policy suggestions of adhering to and perfecting the FTA strategy and guiding enterprises reasonably.