新形势下农户粮食规模经营行为及其影响因素研究——基于粮食主产区的调查数据
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国家自然科学基金项目“农业技术进步模式对我国粮食生产能力的影响评估”(71273263);中国农业科学院科技创新工程项目(ASTIP-IAED-2015-05)


Scale Operation Behavior of Farmers and Its Influences under New Situation——Based on Investigation Data of Farmers from Major Grain Producing Areas
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    摘要:

    “未来谁来种地”是个严峻的现实问题,农业规模化经营无疑是解决这一问题的重要途径。利用河南、黑龙江、四川、浙江四省农户调查数据,基于二元Logistic模型,分析了种粮农户规模化经营行为特征及其影响因素。结果表明:农户粮食规模化经营行为受一系列因素的影响和制约,规模经济激励是农户粮食规模化经营的驱动力,土地资源约束是其基本制约因素,土地流转市场的发育对农户粮食规模化经营有显著促进作用;较高的非农比较收益对农户规模化经营行为有显著抑制作用;良好的金融信贷、保险等社会资本的可获得性、较高的人力资本水平以及较高的农业机械化水平和区域经济发展水平对农户粮食规模化经营有显著正向激励作用。据此提出培育以规模化农户为重要新型农业经营主体,推进农业规模化经营的政策建议。

    Abstract:

    It is a serious problem that who will farm the land in the future.The scale of management of farmland is undoubtedly an important way to solve this problem.Based on the data of household survey in Henan,Heilongjiang,Sichuan and Zhejiang provinces,this paper analyzes the characteristics and influencing factors of scale management of peasant households by using binary Logistic model.The result shows that the scale operation behavior of farmers is affected by a series of factors.The scale economy incentive is the driving force of grain scale management.The restriction of land resource is the basic restriction factor.The development of land circulation market has greatly promoted the scale operation of grain production for farmers.The higher non-agricultural comparative income has a significant inhibitory effect on the farmers’ scaled management decision; the availability of social capital such as good financial credit,insurance,higher human capital level and higher agricultural mechanization level and the level of regional economic development have significant positive incentive effects on grain scale management of farmers.Therefore,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions of fostering large-scale farmers as the important new agricultural management subjects and promoting the large-scale management of agriculture.

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文长存,孙玉竹,魏昊,吴敬学.新形势下农户粮食规模经营行为及其影响因素研究——基于粮食主产区的调查数据[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2017(3):8-16

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-07
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