粮食补贴政策对农户非农就业时间的影响分析——基于安徽省天长市的调研数据
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新世纪人才项目“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”(NCET-12-0868);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(2013PY017)。


Analysis of Grain Subsidy Policy Effects on Off-farm Employment Time——Based on the Survey Data of Anhui Province in Tianchang
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    摘要:

    采用对安徽省天长市农户的实地调查数据,运用Tobit模型分析粮食补贴政策对农户非农就业时间的影响。结果表明:仅考虑单个粮食补贴政策变量的情况下,粮食补贴金额对农户非农就业时间具有显著的负向影响,提高粮食补贴金额在一定程度上会减少农户非农就业时间供给;在考虑多变量的情况下,粮食补贴金额对农户非农就业时间的负向影响并不显著,主要原因是受教育程度较高、家庭务工子女数较多、家庭劳动力数量较多的农户对粮食补贴资金的刺激性不太敏感以及粮食补贴金额对农户农业收入的贡献有限;不管是否考虑所有变量,农户对补贴方式的满意度评价对农户非农就业时间都具有显著的负向影响,农户对补贴方式的满意度越高,其减少非农就业时间的可能性就越大。提出要充分发挥粮食补贴政策的积极作用,应进一步完善补贴金额、补贴方式,提高农户满意度。

    Abstract:

    Based on the survey data attained from farmers in Tianchang, Anhui Province, this paper uses Tobit model to empirically analyze the influence of the grain subsidy policy on off-farm employment time. The results showed that: considering only a single grain subsidy policy variables in the case, the grain subsidy has negative impacts on off-farm employment time. Improving grain subsidies would reduce off-farm employment supply time and increase agricultural time. In the case of all the variables considered, the negative impact of the amount of food subsidies for off-farm employment time is not significant, which can be ascribed to the fact that families with well-educated children, or children serving as migrant workers, or more labor forces are less sensitive to food subsidies and the incentive of such kind contributes less to farmers' agricultural income. Considering all the variables or not, farmers' satisfaction to the ways of subsidies has significant negative effects on their non-agricultural employment time. More satisfied with the ways of subsidies, less time consumed on non-agricultural employment. Therefore, to give full play to the positive role of grain subsidy policy, we should further improve the amount of subsidies and the subsidy way to improve farmers' satisfaction.

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刘颖,董春玉.粮食补贴政策对农户非农就业时间的影响分析——基于安徽省天长市的调研数据[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(4):43-49

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