农村税费改革视角下的中部地区农民收入增长趋势分析——基于Mann Kendall非参数检验模型
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国家自然科学基金项目“气候框架公约下农业碳排放的增长机理及减排政策研究”(71273105);湖北省高等学校优秀中青年科技创新团队项目“农业资源与环境经济问题研究”(T201219);中央高校基本业务专项基金项目“农业废弃物利用与产业可持续发展的联动机制研究”(2012RW002)。


Farmers’ Income Growth Trend from Perspective of Rural Tax Reform in Central China——Based on Mann-Kendall Nonparametric Test Model
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    摘要:

    采用中部地区6省份1993-2010年农民收入面板数据,运用Mann-Kendall非参数检验法,分析了农村税费改革前后农民纯收入及工资性收入、家庭经营收入、财产性收入和转移性收入的增长趋势。结果显示,农村税费改革后,以工资性收入和家庭经营收入来源为主的中部地区农民收入增加较为显著,但人均纯收入与中国大陆地区平均水平的绝对差距有所扩大,相对差距逐步缩小,表明农村税费改革基本实现了阶段性目标。据此,提出了继续稳定家庭经营,不断扩大农民家庭经营收入范围;有序引导农民非农就业,积极拓展劳务收入增长空间;推进农村综合改革,提高中部地区农民财产性收入水平;加大对农村地区的财政扶持,提高对农民的转移支付水平等进一步实现中部地区农民收入较快增长的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of farmers' income collected from six provinces in central China during the period of 1993—2010,this paper uses Mann-Kendall nonparametric test method to analyze the growth trend of farmers’ net income before and after rural tax reform,as well as the four sources of incomes (wage income,family business income,property income and transfer income).The result shows that,after the rural tax reform,the income of farmers in central China dominated by wage income and family business income increases significantly,but the absolute differences between its per capita net income and national average level are broadened,the relative gap is gradually narrowed,which means that rural tax reform has achieved its basic phased goals.Therefore,this paper puts forward several countermeasures on how to further realize the quick increase of farmer’s income in central China:to rapidly develop family-run business and gradually broaden the scope of farmer’s family income; to guide farmer’s employment in non-agricultural sectors in an orderly way and positively expand the growing space of income from labor services; to push forward rural comprehensive reform and increase farmer’s property income in central China and finally to strengthen the financial support for rural areas and enhance the transfer payment for farmers.

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严文高,李鹏.农村税费改革视角下的中部地区农民收入增长趋势分析——基于Mann Kendall非参数检验模型[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2013(4):62-69

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