湖北农村居民持久收入与消费的协整分析
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:


Analysis on Cointegration of Farmers’ Permanent Income and Consumption in Hubei Province
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    一般认为,持久收入是决定居民消费需求的基本因素。采用湖北省1978—2009年的农村居民持久收入与消费支出的年度统计数据,对湖北省农村居民的实际持久收入与消费进行协整分析。结果发现,湖北省农村居民的长期和短期消费弹性分别是0.857和0.728,二者之间存在着长期均衡和短期波动调整关系,持久收入是影响消费需求的决定性因素。在此基础上,提出相应政策建议,即大力提高农村居民的持久收入,从根本上激活农村消费市场和提高农村居民的消费水平。

    Abstract:

    It is generally believed that permanent income is the basic factor to determine residents’ consumption demand.Based on the annual statistical data of permanent income and consumption expenditure of rural residents in Hubei province from1978 to 2009,this paper analyzes the cointegration of actual permanent income and consumption of rural residents in Hubei province.The result shows that the long-term and short-term consumption elasticity of rural residents in Hubei province is 0.8571 and 0.727 8 respectively,which indicates that relationship between long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuations exists and permanent income is the decisive factor in affecting consumption demand.Consequently,this paper puts forward corresponding policy suggestion that it is quite necessary to greatly enhance the permanent income of rural residents so as to activate rural consumer market and fundamentally increase the consumption of rural residents.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

郭更臣,彭代彦.湖北农村居民持久收入与消费的协整分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011(5):39-42

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期: