农村公共产品投入对经济增长的效应分析
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国家社会科学基金项目“农村公共产品政府供给优先序研究”(09BJY094)。


Analysis of the Effects of the Public Goods Investments in Rural Areas on Economic Growth
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    摘要:

    内生经济增长理论肯定了公共产品对经济增长的作用,依据该理论,通过1994-2008年全国农业支出、农村义务教育支出、农村公共卫生支出和农村社会保障支出对经济增长的效应分析,并进行相关数据的协整检验,结合误差修正模型和状态空间模型的使用,得到以下结论:在短期内,农业支出、农村义务教育支出对经济增长存在着正效应,农村公共卫生支出和农村社会保障支出对经济增长存在着负效应;在长期内,基于经济增长效应的中国农村公共产品投入重点依次为农业支出、农村公共卫生支出、农村义务教育支出和农村社会保障支出。基于此,提出了中国农村公共产品投入的政策建议:增加农业支出的投入,继续加大对农村义务教育支出的投入力度,持续平稳地增加对农村公共卫生支出的投入,逐步完善农村社会保障制度。

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    Endogenous economic growth theory affirms the effects of public goods on economic growth.Based on this theory,this article does an effective analysis of the economic growth by taking into consideration of all the influential factors such as national agriculture expenditure,rural compulsory education,rural public health spending and social security expenditure in rural areas from 1994 to 2008.Then through the integration testing of the associated data,by applying error correction model state space model,this article gets the following conclusions:in short term,the agricultural expenditure and the rural compulsory education have a positive effect on the economic growth while the rural public heath spending and the spending on social security in rural areas have a negative effects on the economic growth; in the long run,according to the economic growth effects,Chinese rural public goods investments should attach importance to agriculture expenditure,rural public heath spending,rural compulsory education and spending on social security in rural areas.Based on this,this article gives the suggestions about the public goods investments in rural areas in China as follows:increase the investment on agricultural expenditure,continue to enhance the investment on rural compulsory education,constantly and stably increase the rural public health investment and gradually bring the rural security system into perfection.

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彭定赟,高 萍,罗 元.农村公共产品投入对经济增长的效应分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2011(1):30-36

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